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L O B A L M E R G E R S
Repsol SA Bids For Argentina's YPF Oil
London - April 29 --Spanish
oil refiner Repsol disclosed terms Friday for its surprise $13.44
billion unsolicited bid for Argentina's YPF, and said it aims to
close the deal by June. Repsol paid the Argentine government $2
billion for a 14.99 percent stake in January, making it the largest
shareholder.
The Spanish refiner is offering $44.78 a share cash
for the remaining YPF shares, a 25.4 percent premium on the Argentine
company's closing price Thursday. Analysts said the price is fair
and the deal is very fundable despite the initial stretch it will
cause to the Spanish firm's balance sheet. The Spanish company views
the deal as a means to accelerate its international expansion. Repsol
wants to break way from its reliance on domestic and European markets
and leverage its existing presence in Latin America. If its offer
is accepted it will merge YPF with its subsidiary Astra, the integrated
energy group that has acted as its vehicle for expansion in the
region. Astra is listed in Buenos Aires and Zurich.
While analysts praise the strategic fit of the two
companies, there are concerns about the reaction of YPF's highly
regarded senior management, which had resisted an earlier approach
from Repsol. Repsol Chief Executive Alfonso Cortino said the price
is not "frivolous," admitting the deal represents "a quantum leap
for the company". He expressed hopes that YPF's management team
would remain in place. YPF has 15 days to respond to the offer.
The bulk of its shares are held by U.S. institutions following an
ADR issue in New York. Repsol and YPF, which was privatized in 1993,
both dominate their home markets and with strong international operations
the enlarged Repsol would have proven petroleum reserves of 4.23
billion barrels and production exceeding 1 million barrels a day.
This would put it among the 10 largest oil companies in the world.
While analysts described the price as fair, they said
Repsol was prepared to pay at the top end of the range to preempt
a rival offer for the well-regarded Argentine firm. However, the
move still surprised the markets, which had thought the surge in
oil prices would take YPF out of Repsol's reach. "It's definitely
what Repsol wanted, as it gives them more upstream potential," said
Ranald Wright at Crédit Lyonnais Securities in London. "The only
problem we have with the deal is that YPF is very efficient already."
Repsol said the deal would generate annual cost savings of $350
million.
Repsol plans to fund the takeover with a $15.5 billion
syndicated loan, refinanced with a rights issue of between $4 billion
and $6 billion in July. It also will raise another $2.5 billion
from asset sales. The company said net debt would climb to $23 billion
before dropping below $16 billion by the end of 2000. Analysts also
welcomed the strategic fit between the two companies, which they
said would provide a balance to Repsol's overexposure in refining
and marketing while YPF has focused on exploration and production.
"It's all about improving growth prospects and not being left as
a domestic Spanish oil company," said one analyst who asked not
to be named.
The deal would make the enlarged Repsol a major player
in the gas market, ranking number 5 in terms of global reserves.
The group said it is targeting double-digit growth in gas sales
in the Latin American market. YPF was privatized in 1993 and has
established a strong financial profile which has allowed it to borrow
on the international capital markets and achieve an A-minus credit
rating, better than that of Argentina. Repsol shares opened up 2.1
percent at 15.00 euros in Madrid Thursday before trading was suspended.
YPF (YPF) shares closed up 1-3/4 at 35-5/16 in New York trading
Thursday.
Repsol's announcement coincided with a round of positive
research reports that,. together with rising oil prices, have pushed
up oil stocks worldwide. France's Elf Aquitaine (PAQ) jumped 3.85
pence to 44.06 euros while Total (PFP) added 1.9 percent to reach
128.90 euros. BP Amoco (BPA) climbed 1.03 percent to 1,1181 pence
in London and Shell (SHEL) added 2.76 percent to hit 474 pence.
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